I am an Associate Professor in the Department of Political Science at Duke University. I am also an associate member of Nuffield College, University of Oxford. My research interests lie at the boundary of political economy, political behavior, and political sociology and has been published, among others, in the American Journal of Political Science, Journal of Politics, British Journal of Political Science, World Politics, Annual Review of Political Science, and Political Analysis.
Book
Who wants What? Preferences for Redistribution in Comparative Perspective (with David Rueda). 2019. Cambridge Studies in Comparative Politics series, Cambridge University Press. [Publisher website] [Amazon]
Peer-review journal articles
Resilient Democracies [with Pablo Beramendi and Carles Boix]. Forthcoming, Journal of Politics [PDF]
Global Competition, Local Unions, and Political Representation: Disentangling Mechanisms [with Michael Becher]. Forthcoming, American Journal of Political Science [PDF]
COVID-19, Government Performance, and Democracy: Survey Experimental Evidence from 12 Countries [with Vincent Pons, Nicolas Longuet Marx, Michael Becher et al]. Journal of Politics 86 (4), 2024 [link] [NBER WP version].
Endogenous benchmarking and government accountability: Experimental evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic [with M. Becher and S. Brouard]. British Journal of Political Science 54 (2), 2024. [link] [pdf]
Proportional Representation and Right-Wing Populism: Evidence from Electoral System Change in Europe [with Michael Becher and Irene Menendez]. British Journal of Political Science 53 (1), 2023. [link] [pdf]
Ideology and compliance with health guidelines during the COVID-19 pandemic: A comparative perspective [with Michael Becher, Sylvain Brouard, and Eric Kerrouche]. Social Science Quarterly 102 (5), 2021. [pdf] [link]
Face-Saving Strategies Increase Self-Reported Non-Compliance with COVID-19 Preventive Measures: Experimental Evidence from 12 Countries [with J.F. Daoust, E. Bélanger, R. Dassonneville, E. Lachapelle, R. Nadeau, M. Becher, S. Brouard, M. Foucault, and C.Hönnige]. PLOS One 16 (4), 2021. [link]
Reducing Unequal Representation: The Impact of Labor Unions on Legislative Responsiveness in the US Congress [with Michael Becher]. Perspectives on Politics 19 (1), 2021. [link] [preprint]
The Political Geography of the Eurocrisis [with Pablo Beramendi]. World Politics 72(4), 2020. [preprint] [link]
Local Union Organization and Lawmaking in the U.S. Congress [with Michael Becher]. Journal of Politics 80(2), 2018. [link] [preprint] [bibtex]
Models of Other-Regarding Preferences, Inequality and Redistribution [with Matthew Dimick and David Rueda]. Annual Review of Political Science 21, 2018. [link] [preprint] [bibtex]
The Altruistic Rich? Inequality and Other-Regarding Preferences for Redistribution in the US [with Matthew Dimick and David Rueda]. Quarterly Journal of Political Science 11(4), 2016. [link] [preprint] [bibtex]
The Externalities of Inequality: Fear of Crime and Preferences for Redistribution in Western Europe [with David Rueda]. American Journal of Political Science 60(2), 2016. [link] [preprint] [bibtex]
Religion and Redistributive Voting in Western Europe, Journal of Politics 75(4), 2014. [link] [preprint] [bibtex]
Bayesian hierarchical age-period-cohort models with time-structured effects. An application to religious voting in the US, 1972-2008. Electoral Studies 33, 2014. [link] [preprint] [bibtex]
Modeling changing preferences. A Bayesian robust dynamic latent ordered probit model. Political Analysis 21(3), 2013. [link] [preprint] [bibtex]
Religion and Preferences for Redistribution in Western Europe. Assessing the role of religion. European Sociological Review 28(4), 2012. [link] [preprint] [bibtex]
Apples and Oranges? The Problem of Equivalence in Comparative Research Political Analysis 19(4), 2011. [link] [preprint] [bibtex]
The Individual Level Dynamics of Bounded Partisanship [with A. Neundorf and T. Scotto] Public Opinion Quarterly 75(3), 2011. [link] [preprint] [bibtex]
Book chapters
Organized Interests and the Mechanisms Behind Unequal Representation in Legislatures [with Michael Becher] Unequal Democracies: Public Policy, Responsiveness, and Redistribution in an Era of Rising Economic Inequality. Edited by Noam Lupu and Jonas Pontusson. Cambridge University Press, 2024. [book] [preprint]
Network Politicization and Political Integration: From grand cleavages to private network structures. [with Sigrid Roßteutscher] Voters on the Move or on the Run? Information-processing and Vote Choice in a Complex World. Edited by Bernhard Weßels, Hans Rattinger, Sigrid Roßteutscher, and Rüdiger Schmitt-Beck. Oxford University Press, 2014. [book]
Machines Against Workers? Rethinking the Impact of Robots on Union Strength [with Michael Becher].
Tax Progressivity and Redistribution [with Matthew Dimick and Pablo Beramendi]. Currently (2025) being revised.
Income Expectations and the Dynamics of Left Party Support. Panel evidence from Germany, 1984-2020 [with David Rueda].
Income Risk and Redistributive Voting in Industrialized Democracies [with David Rueda]. Latest version: March 2025.
HIV incidence among MSM in China, 2004-2021. A Bayesian Meta Analysis. [with Siegler AJ, Huang W, et al]
Inequality and support for taxing the rich in times of crisis [with Michael Becher].
Rational mobilization of ideological group members in elections. Theory and Evidence [with Michael Becher]. [PDF]
Latest CV here
Current Courses
POLSCI 890-5 Measurement Models in the Social Science. Duke, Fall 2025.
POLSCI 748 Causal Inference. Duke, Fall 2025.
Past Courses
POLSCI 748 Causal Inference. Duke, Fall 2023, 2024.
POLSCI 643 Applied Bayesian Modeling. Duke, Fall 2023, Spring 2025.
POLSCI 690 Models for Hierarchical and Time Series Cross Section Data. Duke, Fall 2019.
POLSCI 745 Political Economy Core. Duke, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022. [syllabus]
POLSCI 748 Introduction to Causal Inference. Duke, Fall 2018.
POLSCI 146 Politics and Economics. Duke, 2017, 2018, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024.
POLSCI 376 Inequality in the US. Duke, Fall 2024.
POLSCI 733 Advanced Regression. Duke, 2017, 2018, 2020.
Bayesian Modeling for the Social Sciences II: Advanced Topics. ICPSR Summer School, 2013 - 2015, 2017 - 2021.
Regression designs and their applications. University of Mannheim.
Advanced Bayesian Models. University of Mannheim.
Quantitative Methods in Political Science. University of Mannheim.
Models for Categorical Data. University of Mannheim.
Introduction to Missing Data. University of Mannheim.
Modeling heterogeneity in cross-sectional and panel data. Essex Summer School.
R for Mac OS X Developer's Page. Simon Urbanek's nightly R builds for OS X; updated versions of gfortran and GTK for OS X
Octave. Matrix algebra package. Runs most Matlab code with minor modifications
Maxima. Fork of MIT's MACSYMA and predecessor of Maple and Mathematica. Less polished than those two, but with nice integration in Emacs.